Lecture 10: The Geometry of Costs — Short Run vs Long Run
2026
We’ve crossed the aisle:
🛒 Lectures 5–9: Consumer Theory (demand side)
🏭 Lectures 10–15: Producer Theory (supply side)
🎯 Today’s Goal: Understand the cost structure of firms
How do costs behave as production changes?
Consumer (Lectures 5–9):
Producer (Lectures 10–15):
. . .
💡 Key parallel: Just as consumers face trade-offs with limited income, producers face trade-offs with limited resources and technology.
The Producer’s Goal
A firm wants to maximize profit. To do so, it must understand its costs at every level of output.
\[\pi = \text{Total Revenue} - \text{Total Cost} = TR - TC\]
Before we can find the profit-maximizing quantity (next lecture), we need to master costs.
Today we answer:
Short Run vs Long Run
Short run: A period in which at least one factor of production is fixed (cannot be changed). Typically, capital (machines, buildings) is fixed.
Long run: A period long enough that all factors of production are variable. The firm can adjust everything: equipment, factory size, workforce.
🔒 Short Run — Tourism example:
A hotel has 100 rooms. It cannot build more rooms this season. It can only hire/fire staff (variable input).
🔓 Long Run — Tourism example:
The hotel chain can build a new wing, open in a new city, or exit the market entirely.
| Fixed Inputs 🔒 | Variable Inputs 🔄 | |
|---|---|---|
| Definition | Cannot change in the short run | Can be adjusted at any time |
| Examples | Building, machines, lease contracts | Workers, raw materials, energy |
| Tourism | Hotel building, aircraft, kitchen equipment | Staff, food supplies, fuel |
| Cost behavior | Same cost regardless of output | Cost changes with output |
. . .
The Key Distinction
In the short run, the firm has both fixed and variable inputs. In the long run, all inputs are variable — there are no fixed costs.
Law of Diminishing Returns
When we keep adding more of a variable input (e.g., workers) to a fixed input (e.g., a kitchen), eventually each additional worker adds less and less to total output.
Tourism example: A restaurant kitchen with 5 stoves 🍳
| Extra chefs hired | Extra meals/hour produced | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| 1st chef | +10 meals | Initial Setup |
| 2nd chef | +25 meals | Increasing returns (Specialization) |
| 3rd chef | +18 meals | Diminishing returns (Space starts to limit) |
| 4th chef | +10 meals | Further diminishing |
| 5th chef | +3 meals | Crowding (Stoves are fully occupied!) |
💡 Why? The fixed input (kitchen space) gets congested. Chefs bump into each other, wait for stoves, compete for prep space.
All short-run costs derive from three building blocks:
🔒 Fixed Cost (FC)
Costs that do not change with output.
Must be paid even if \(Q = 0\).
Hotel: mortgage, insurance, property tax
🔄 Variable Cost (VC)
Costs that change with the level of output.
Zero when \(Q = 0\).
Hotel: staff wages, laundry, food, energy
➕ Total Cost (TC)
The sum of all costs.
\[TC = FC + VC\]
Hotel: everything combined
. . .
⚠️ Important: FC is a sunk cost in the short run — it cannot be recovered. Remember Lecture 3!
Imagine a small beach bar in Albufeira. The owner pays €500/month in rent (fixed), and hires staff and buys supplies (variable).
| Output (Q) | Fixed Cost (FC) | Variable Cost (VC) | Total Cost (TC = FC + VC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | €500 | €0 | €500 |
| 50 | €500 | €200 | €700 |
| 100 | €500 | €350 | €850 |
| 150 | €500 | €550 | €1,050 |
| 200 | €500 | €800 | €1,300 |
| 250 | €500 | €1,150 | €1,650 |
| 300 | €500 | €1,650 | €2,150 |
Output = drinks served per month (hypothetical illustrative example)
👉 Notice: FC stays at €500 always. VC increases — and it increases faster and faster (diminishing returns to the staff in the small bar!).
👉 TC and VC have the same shape — TC is just VC shifted up by FC. The vertical gap between TC and VC is always exactly €500 (the fixed cost).
Total costs tell us the whole bill, but firms need to know the cost per unit to set prices and make decisions.
Average Costs
\[AFC = \frac{FC}{Q} \qquad AVC = \frac{VC}{Q} \qquad ATC = \frac{TC}{Q} = AFC + AVC\]
Average Fixed Cost (AFC):
Average Variable Cost (AVC):
Marginal Cost (MC)
The additional cost of producing one more unit of output.
\[MC = \frac{\Delta TC}{\Delta Q} = \frac{\text{Change in Total Cost}}{\text{Change in Output}}\]
Equivalently: \(MC = \frac{\Delta VC}{\Delta Q}\) (since FC doesn’t change!)
Intuition: If producing 100 drinks costs €850 total and producing 101 drinks costs €856, then \(MC = €6\).
Why is MC so important?
| Q | FC | VC | TC | AFC = FC/Q | AVC = VC/Q | ATC = TC/Q | MC = ΔTC/ΔQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 500 | 0 | 500 | — | — | — | — |
| 50 | 500 | 200 | 700 | 10.00 | 4.00 | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| 100 | 500 | 350 | 850 | 5.00 | 3.50 | 8.50 | 3.00 |
| 150 | 500 | 550 | 1,050 | 3.33 | 3.67 | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| 200 | 500 | 800 | 1,300 | 2.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 5.00 |
| 250 | 500 | 1,150 | 1,650 | 2.00 | 4.60 | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| 300 | 500 | 1,650 | 2,150 | 1.67 | 5.50 | 7.17 | 10.00 |
Hypothetical illustrative example
👉 Key observations:
Think of it like your grade point average 🎓
The “exam grade” analogy:
If your next exam grade is below your average → your average falls ⬇️
If your next exam grade is above your average → your average rises ⬆️
If your next exam grade equals your average → average stays the same (minimum!)
Applied to costs:
Same logic applies to ATC!
👉 MC always crosses average curves at their lowest point.
This is a mathematical fact, not an economic assumption.
Total Cost Curves:
The S-shape comes from diminishing returns — costs eventually accelerate.
Per-Unit Cost Curves:
👉 As Q grows, ATC gets closer to AVC because AFC shrinks.
. . .
⚠️ Don’t confuse: MC can be below ATC while ATC is still falling. ATC rises only after MC crosses above it.
Fixed costs (don’t change with occupancy):
These costs explain why hotels hate empty rooms — FC is already committed!
Variable costs (change with occupancy):
That’s why hotels offer last-minute discounts — as long as \(P > MC\) of hosting one more guest, it’s worth it!
. . .
💡 The difference between FC and VC explains why low-season pricing exists: covering variable costs and some fixed costs is better than covering none.
The airline cost structure (illustrative):
An Algarve charter flight has roughly:
. . .
Spreading the Fixed Cost
If a flight costs €20,000 to operate (mostly fixed) and has 200 seats:
Every additional passenger dramatically lowers the cost per passenger!
👉 This is why airlines practice overbooking and dynamic pricing — filling seats spreads the enormous fixed cost.
In the long run, the firm can adjust all inputs — including building size, number of machines, and technology.
Long-Run Average Cost (LRAC)
The lowest possible average cost for each level of output, when the firm is free to choose the optimal scale (size) of operations.
Think of it this way:
The LRAC curve is formed by choosing the best short-run plant size for each output level.
👉 The LRAC is the “envelope” of all possible short-run ATC curves.
Each dashed curve = one plant size (short run). The bold red LRAC = lowest cost achievable at each Q.
👉 In the long run, the firm chooses the plant size that minimizes cost for its desired output.
The shape of the LRAC curve reveals three zones:
⬇️ Economies of Scale
LRAC is falling
Bigger → cheaper per unit
Tourism: Large hotel chains get bulk discounts, shared booking platforms, brand recognition
“Getting bigger makes us more efficient”
↔︎️ Constant Returns
LRAC is flat
Doubling inputs doubles output (cost per unit stays the same)
Tourism: Mid-sized operators replicating a proven format across locations
“We’re at the right size”
⬆️ Diseconomies of Scale
LRAC is rising
Bigger → more expensive per unit
Tourism: Huge resorts with bureaucracy, coordination problems, slow decision-making
“We’ve grown too big”
. . .
💡 Minimum Efficient Scale (MES): the smallest output where LRAC reaches its minimum. Firms should aim to operate at or beyond this point.
Why do big hotel chains (Marriott, Accor, Hilton) have cost advantages?
Sources of economies of scale ⬇️:
Why not grow forever? ⬆️
👉 This is why boutique hotels can survive alongside chains — they operate efficiently at a smaller scale with a different value proposition.
| Concept | Formula | Shape | Key Fact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed Cost (FC) | Constant | Horizontal line | Doesn’t change with output |
| Variable Cost (VC) | Changes with Q | S-shaped (rises, accelerates) | Due to diminishing returns |
| Total Cost (TC) | FC + VC | VC shifted up by FC | |
| Avg Fixed Cost (AFC) | FC / Q | Always declining | Spreading the overhead |
| Avg Variable Cost (AVC) | VC / Q | U-shaped | Min where MC crosses it |
| Avg Total Cost (ATC) | TC / Q = AFC + AVC | U-shaped (above AVC) | Gap to AVC = AFC (shrinks) |
| Marginal Cost (MC) | ΔTC / ΔQ | U-shaped | Crosses AVC & ATC at their mins |
| LRAC | Envelope of SRATCs | U-shaped | Economies → constant → diseconomies |
Today’s Key Takeaways:
Connection: Costs are the foundation of supply. Next lecture we use MC to find the profit-maximizing output.
Next (Lecture 11, March 20): Companies — Profit Maximization 💰
Practice Time! ✏️
Cost curves, short run, and long run.
Question: A tour operator in Lisbon has monthly fixed costs of €10,000 (office lease, software) and variable costs that depend on the number of tours sold. Currently, they sell 200 tours per month with an ATC of €80 per tour. If they increase to 250 tours and ATC falls to €72 per tour, what can we conclude?
A. Marginal cost of the additional tours is below €72
B. Marginal cost of the additional tours is above €80
C. The firm is experiencing diseconomies of scale
D. Fixed costs have increased
Answer: A
If ATC is falling (from €80 to €72), it must be that MC is pulling the average down. From the “exam grade” analogy: if your average falls, the new grade must be below the current average. So \(MC < ATC = €72\) for those additional 50 tours.
Question: In the short run, a small hotel in Sintra has fixed costs of €6,000/month. When occupancy rises from 80 to 90 guests/month, total costs rise from €14,000 to €15,500. What is the marginal cost per additional guest?
A. €150
B. €155
C. €172
D. €175
Answer: A
\(MC = \frac{\Delta TC}{\Delta Q} = \frac{€15{,}500 - €14{,}000}{90 - 80} = \frac{€1{,}500}{10} = €150\) per guest.
Note: FC (€6,000) is irrelevant to MC — it doesn’t change! Only variable costs drive the change in TC.
A small surf school in Ericeira has monthly fixed costs of €2,000 (equipment rental, insurance) and the following cost structure:
| Students/month (Q) | Variable Cost (VC) |
|---|---|
| 0 | €0 |
| 10 | €800 |
| 20 | €1,400 |
| 30 | €1,900 |
| 40 | €2,600 |
| 50 | €3,500 |
| 60 | €4,800 |
a) Calculate TC, AFC, AVC, ATC, and MC for each output level.
b) At what output level is AVC minimized? At what output is ATC minimized?
c) Verify that MC = AVC at the minimum of AVC, and MC = ATC at the minimum of ATC.
d) The school charges €90 per student. At what output level would you expect MC to equal this price? What does this tell us about the profit-maximizing output? (We’ll formalize this in the next lecture!)
e) In the long run, the school considers expanding to a second location. Explain, using the concept of economies of scale, under what conditions this expansion would lower the cost per student.
| Q | FC | VC | TC | AFC | AVC | ATC | MC (per 10 students) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2,000 | 0 | 2,000 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | 2,000 | 800 | 2,800 | 200.00 | 80.00 | 280.00 | 80.00 |
| 20 | 2,000 | 1,400 | 3,400 | 100.00 | 70.00 | 170.00 | 60.00 |
| 30 | 2,000 | 1,900 | 3,900 | 66.67 | 63.33 | 130.00 | 50.00 |
| 40 | 2,000 | 2,600 | 4,600 | 50.00 | 65.00 | 115.00 | 70.00 |
| 50 | 2,000 | 3,500 | 5,500 | 40.00 | 70.00 | 110.00 | 90.00 |
| 60 | 2,000 | 4,800 | 6,800 | 33.33 | 80.00 | 113.33 | 130.00 |
MC calculation example: From Q = 20 to Q = 30: \(MC = \frac{3{,}900 - 3{,}400}{30 - 20} = \frac{500}{10} = €50\) per student.
b) AVC is minimized at Q = 30 (AVC = €63.33). ATC is minimized at Q = 50 (ATC = €110.00).
👉 AVC minimum comes before ATC minimum — this is always the case because AFC is still pulling ATC down even after AVC starts rising.
c) At Q = 30 (AVC minimum): MC just shifted from €60 (at Q=20) to €50 (at Q=30), and then rises to €70 (at Q=40). MC passes through the AVC minimum range, consistent with theory. At Q = 50 (ATC minimum): MC = €90, while ATC = €110. Between Q=40 and Q=50, MC (€90) is still below ATC (€110), pulling it down. At Q=60, MC = €130 > ATC = €113.33, so ATC starts rising. The crossing happens between Q=50 and Q=60. ✅
d) Price = €90. MC = €90 at Q = 50. This suggests the profit-maximizing output is around 50 students. At this level, each additional student brings in exactly as much revenue (€90) as they cost to add. Producing more (Q=60) would mean MC = €130 > €90 = price → losing money on each extra student.
e) Expanding to a second location would lower the cost per student if the school can achieve economies of scale:
However, expansion could also create diseconomies if:
👉 Expansion makes sense if the LRAC falls at the combined output — that is, if the firm is still in the economies of scale region.
March 20, 2026: Companies — Profit Maximization 💰
How do firms use cost curves to choose the optimal output?
👉 Spoiler: The answer involves setting Price = MC in perfect competition!
Questions? 🙋
📧 paulo.fagandini@ext.universidadeeuropeia.pt
Next class: Friday, March 20, 2026
Economics of Tourism | Lecture 10